Despite the vast discrepency in size and population even in military capabilities, Taiwan have had a longstanding austerity to combat China without any support from United States.
It raises ample of suspenses why China would look far less like if they show the audacity to invade Taiwan. The factor are not only Taiwan’s millitary are better trained, better motivated and better prepared but they are better privileged and in some environmental, economic an diplomatic issues than the mainland of China.
Fog- one of the most signifacnt factors would be for People's Liberation Army(PLA) to implement their atrack in Taiwan. In Taiwan, foggy weather starts from Feb 15 to June 15. It gets worse in the morning hours of April and May. As of that time, average visibility is estimated 1.2 miles in Spring, 2.4 miles in Winter and 6.2 miles in summer.
The wind and wave conditions would be another obstacle which could let PLA not to pave their way to march into land of Taiwan with an easy approach, because it starts out in early march and gets very low by the end of the month. Furhermore, the current in the straight tends to be stronger in Summer and weak in Winter. Therefore, it looks far less like to win for PLA to fight agianst such environmental barriers. So, to invade Tai Pei, they must accomplish the job within the next two weeks after first strike.
Except this, PLA will have to be prepared to set off their first attack in Taiwan atleast 60 days before. The time is enough for Taiwan's government and military strategists to take their military preparation, set aside their fleets from vulberable bases to better, perceives Chinese Intellegence’s motives, disperese mine in lands and sea and spread out their 2.5 million reservists across the country.
Taiwan has 13 beaches- linked with long underground tunnels, completed with dangerous elements, connected with the main command- are prepared for combating any enemy nation. In addition, the Mobile Artillery and missile systems of Taiwan are unlikely to be less considerable. Even the 2.5 million trained military would make the war situation worse for PLA by setting land-mines around the country. Albeit,Taiwan may have a few fleets in the sea but they might have ship-killing missiles to punch back.
Apart from this, the US defence experts and war strategist found several reasons- economic and human cost- could be devastating for China . It is anticipated that if China attack Taiwan, they would have to carry away the loss of tens of billion of dollars after the post-war. Whether PLA even succsfully invade Taiwan, it would cost them diplomatic and economic isolation from the whole world. Since the US is poisioning its diplomatic realtions with China, it is inevitable that they will take part with Japan in favor of Taiwan if the hostilities begin.
No doubt here- the Beijing is well known about the consequences of the war against Tai Pei. If they decide to push the green switch and start a war they might learn some significant lessons what washington learnt in the first two decades of 21 century.
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